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The U.S. jobs report, set for release on January 10, is poised to be a critical indicator for the stock market in 2025, with expectations of 150,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Investors are looking for signs of a stable economy to support equity gains, while concerns about inflation and interest rates loom. Recent labor data has shown volatility, and any unexpected weakness could lead to market fluctuations.
Mabrouk Chetouane, Head of Global Market Strategy at Natixis Investment Managers, argues that the U.S. can sustain its debt in the short to medium term, despite rising deficits projected by 2040. He believes tariffs won't significantly drive inflation, as other factors like demand and currency valuation play crucial roles. Chetouane also advocates for the European Central Bank to cut interest rates further, citing the negative impact of past hikes on the manufacturing sector, particularly in Germany.
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has reduced the key interest rate by 50 basis points to 0.5%, signaling urgency amid economic uncertainties and low inflation. While some economists view this as a necessary step to curb the franc's appreciation, others believe its impact will be limited, raising concerns about the SNB's remaining monetary policy tools. The strong franc continues to negatively affect SMEs, with many calling for measures to prevent further appreciation against the euro.
The Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut key interest rates by 50 basis points to 0.5% amid economic slowdown and low inflation, signaling urgency to prevent further appreciation of the Swiss franc. Economists express concern over diminishing options for future rate cuts, with potential foreign exchange market interventions on the table. The decision reflects growing uncertainty in the economic outlook, particularly regarding U.S. and European policies, while SMEs voice worries about the strong franc's impact on their operations.
UBS is in the process of acquiring full ownership of its securities joint venture in China, currently held at 67% after its partner, Beijing State-owned Assets Management, decided to auction its 33% stake. This move follows UBS's strategic exit from the securities business of Credit Suisse in China, where it sold a significant portion of its stake in CS Securities.
The upcoming US presidential election is expected to create significant uncertainty, impacting economic behavior and investment plans. A close result may lead to challenges and appeals, reminiscent of the 2020 election, with potential market volatility. Depending on the outcome, policy differences between candidates could influence trade, tax rates, and sectors like renewable energy and healthcare, shaping long-term investment strategies.
Natixis Investment Managers SA
Companies
The information provided herein is generated by experimental artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only.
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